[Peace-discuss] The Russian menace, II
Szoke, Ron
r-szoke at illinois.edu
Thu Feb 4 00:25:30 EST 2016
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The Opinion Pages<http://www.nytimes.com/pages/opinion/index.html> | EDITORIAL
The Pentagon’s Top Threat? Russia
By THE EDITORIAL BOARD<http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/opinion/editorialboard.html>FEB. 3, 2016
403 COMMENTS
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Continue reading the main story<http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/03/opinion/the-pentagons-top-threat-russia.html?emc=eta1#story-continues-1>
The Pentagon has put Russia at the top of its list of national security threats with its plan to increase the deployment of heavy weapons, armored vehicles and troops on rotating assignment to NATO countries in Central and Eastern Europe.
In a speech on Tuesday, Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter listed a hierarchy of threats to the United States, which included China, North Korea, Iran and finally, the fight against terrorism. But his primary focus was Russia.
While he makes a good case for deterring Russian aggression, his proposal to quadruple military spending in Europe in 2017 to $3.4 billion from $789 million seems excessive and raises questions about whether other immediate threats, like the Islamic State, are getting short shrift.
It is undeniable that Russia has become openly aggressive under President Vladimir Putin, who has violated sovereign borders by annexing Crimea and stoking civil war in Ukraine. A cease-fire in Ukraine was declared last year, but Russian forces still maintain a presence in eastern Ukraine, raising questions about whether Russia might try to extend its reach to the Baltic States.
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CreditFrancois Lenoir/Reuters
There are other concerns as well. Russia has built a web of complex missile defenses<http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/12/world/europe/air-force-general-says-russia-missile-defense-very-serious.html> that increasingly threaten NATO’s military access to airspace in parts of Europe, including one-third of the skies of Poland. Similar Russian missile buildups are underway in Crimea and in Syria, where the Russians have beefed up their air campaign on behalf of the Assad government.
Given the Russian moves, it’s important that the United States and NATO allies reinforce their commitment to the common defense, especially at a time when Europe is under great stress from the flow of Syrians and other refugees and the rise of anti-immigrant right-wing political parties.
Over the past two years, the United States has already increased its military exercises and rotation of forces in Europe. Mr. Carter’s new plan would ensure that the alliance can maintain a full armored combat brigade, roughly 5,000 troops, in the region at all times, including in Hungary, Romania and the Baltic countries. Under a 1997 agreement, NATO and Russia agreed not to permanently station troops or nuclear weapons on each other’s borders. The Americans say the plan would not violate this pledge because the troops will rotate, even though the effect will be a constant presence.
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RECENT COMMENTS
Gerhard Miksche
8 hours ago
Such a nonsense. If Russia had an intent to attack the Baltic countries or Poland or to take the whole of Ukraina within a few days, it...
Bahram
8 hours ago
It is truly baffling to witness the reactions of US government in the face of a minor transgression by another state, particularly those...
Bella
8 hours ago
America lives in a state of fear. That is the main problem of being big man on campus, you always have to watch your back. Russia has...
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The increased American investment sends a message to Mr. Putin and provides leverage to demand that other NATO countries do more to increase their own defense budgets. But the sheer size of the spending increase seems like a return to the Pentagon’s blank-check ways during the height of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Even though the United States spends more on defense than the next seven countries combined, the Pentagon has been chafing under budget cuts. In fact, the increased money for European defense is supposed to come from a war account that pays for operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, which allows the administration to get around budget caps.
Deterring Russia is essential. But this initiative seems like a reversion back to what the Pentagon has traditionally done — prepare to fight big wars with ever more costly weapons against adversaries like Russia. Threats from the Islamic State and other terrorist groups are messier and harder to predict. America must be able to confront both, but it is unclear that Mr. Carter’s plan gets the balance right.
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A version of this editorial appears in print on February 3, 2016, on page A22 of the New York edition with the headline: The Pentagon’s Top Threat? Russia. Today's Paper<http://www.nytimes.com/pages/todayspaper/index.html>|Subscribe<http://www.nytimes.com/subscriptions/Multiproduct/lp839RF.html?campaignId=48JQY>
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