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<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----
<DIV style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A
title=1999wildcat@gmail.com href="mailto:1999wildcat@gmail.com">John Reimann</A>
</DIV>
<DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=socialistdiscussion@yahoogroups.com
href="mailto:socialistdiscussion@yahoogroups.com">socialist discussion</A>
</DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Monday, March 28, 2011 1:11 PM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> [socialistdiscussion] Fwd: Article on German
elections</DIV></DIV>
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<P>I thought comrades might be interested in this article on the recent German
elections.<BR>John
<DIV class=gmail_quote>
<DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
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<DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE type="cite">
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<DIV>
<DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE type="cite">
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<DIV>--------------------------</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>German Regional Elections</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><B>Voters seek alternative to Merkel's government</B></DIV>
<DIV>by Walter Held</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>29.3.2011</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>The coalition government of Angela Merkel of CDU, CSU and FDP in
Berlin, known by the colours of these parties as black-yellow, has lost a
significant amount of its support since the election victory of September
2009. Four Regional Land elections in 2011 have documented the melting away
of the coalition's voting strength signalled mainly by the huge decline in
the support for the more rightwing FDP, first in the northern metropolis of
Hamburg in February, then in the south-eastern Sachsen-Anhalt and now
in two south-western states, the Rheinland Palatinate (RP) and
Baden-Wuerttemberg (BW) on Sunday 27th March.</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>The background was, of course, the efforts to recover from the deep
economic crisis affecting all major capitalist countries. The CDU and
Bavarian CSU had been in coalition with the social democrats (SPD) up to
September 2009; the SPD came out of that period of crisis and cuts and
anti-working class legislation with its worst result in postwar German
history with only 23% of the votes, cementing the social democrats' loss of
6 million (!) votes over a nine year period, half of its electoral support.
Fully one-third of the party's members left in the period, disappointed with
the SPD's neoliberal line. Many dropped out of political activity but
numbers of activists joined the Linke, the Left Party boosting its
membership overall to 70,000 and its electoral support throughout most of
Germany, with the party gaining seats in regional parliaments in 13 of the
16 federal states.</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>But the Linke has only a very small share of the vote in the older
western federal states, often only just clearing the 5% hurdle imposed
before any seats are allocated. In the new eastern states, the Linke enjoys
a quite different level of support, often between 20% and 30% because of its
roots in municipal councils. Thus, in Sachsen Anhalt, the Linke is the
second largest party, evidence of the fact that the Linke is not one,
but two political parties with the eastern party acting as a tribune for the
regional and local interests of the old GDR area, much as the CSU lobbies
heavily for its constituency, Bavaria.</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>In Hamburg, the SPD did reconquer a majority of votes in February. But
in Sachsen-Anhalt it came in third behind the CDU and the Linke after a bout
of coalition with the local CDU. As if to insult the voters again, the
miserable SPD leadership is choosing to renew a coalition with the CDU in
that Land, rejecting calls by the larger Linke to form a red-red coalition
with a programme of reforms! Disappointed with the SPD overall, the two
latest Land elections display what has happened to a mass of protest voters;
abandoning the SPD in large numbers in RP and many in BW, those who wanted
to show their opposition to Merkel's policies have voted for the Green Party
in record numbers. Sensationally, in BW the Greens actually overtook the SPD
to become the second largest party and are now probably in a position to
take the leadership and the First Minister post in that Land, breaking the
CDU's hold which has lasted for over fifty years.</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>What the Greens have done is to initiate and ride the wave of
anti-nuclear power feeling which, although latent but growing for years, has
suddenly been massively fuelled by the Japanese fiasco in Fukumshima. Indeed
on the Saturday prior to the latest Land elections up to 200,000 people
demonstrated in Germany's four largest cities against nuclear power.
Taken together with other local issues such as the unpopular redesign of the
main railway station down in Stuttgart, the Green have been in the forefront
of organising protest demos, sit-ins, marches and steady propaganda work for
decades, whereas the tired old SPD has been pursuing policies against the
interests of the broad population and confining itself to routinist
parliamentary committees and manoevres. Only recently, having been been
thrust out of the Grand Coalition with Merkel in 2009, has the SPD begun to
reawaken and has been present on demonstrations and rallies, for example
against the threatened closure of the Opel car factories and other issues.
The Linke, by contrast, has been stagnating for years on the sidelines,
unable to develop policies which appeal to the new generation or to break
out of 5-8% of voting strength, viewed with suspicion by most workers and
seen as either utopian or destructive or a potentially new edition of
stalinism.</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>No surprise then, that the Greens have been able to recruit thousands
of young middle-aged and younger, often well educated and conscientious,
people to its flag. In fact the Greens are highly inconsistent in their
politics as has already been and will again be shown in the coming period.
They abandoned their antiwar stance in Afghanistan, they half-heartedly
oppose the plans for Stuttgart, they even took part in a coalition
government in Hamburg with the CDU until thrown out in February. So it would
be wrong to see them as a new left party or even as a reliable protest
party. They purged most of their own leftwing years ago. And while they
preach some good reforms such as abolition of student fees, their policies
on the economy are thoroughly procapitalist and at best keynesian reformist.
Their record in a neoliberal coalition government with Schroeder appears to
have been forgotten. The fact that such a party can make such large gains is
testimony to the bankrupt position of the SPD in almost all areas. The
still-tainted Linke derives no benefit from this scenario. There is,
however, some cause for optimism that a left wing is beginning to form in
and around left positions in the social democracy. Local and regional ad hoc
groups involving SPD and Linke and some Green councillors and members of
citizens' neighbourhood groups are beginning to join together to move
against the cuts which are starting to cause closures of public services
such as libraries, swimming pools, libraries etc. And it is certainly
true that the old workers' organisations can only regain their former
strength by shaking off the paralysis of Schroeder's neoliberal policies and
returning to representing the real interests of the rank and file
movement.</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>Results in Hamburg</DIV>
<DIV>Feb 2011 (2008 in brackets)</DIV>
<DIV>CDU 21.9% (42.6%) SPD 48.4% (34.1%) Greens 11,2% (9.6%)
Linke 6.4% (6.4%)</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>Results in Sachsen Anhalt</DIV>
<DIV>March 2011 (2006 in brackets)</DIV>
<DIV>CDU 32.5% (36.2%) Linke 23.7% (24.1%) SPD 21.5% (21.6%) Greens 7.1%
(3.6%)</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>Results in RP</DIV>
<DIV>March 2011 (2006 in brackets)</DIV>
<DIV>SPD 35.7% (46.6%) CDU 35.2% (32.8%) Greens 15.4% (4.6%)</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>Results in BW</DIV>
<DIV>March 2011 (2006 in brackets)</DIV>
<DIV>CDU 39% (44.2%) Greens 24.2% (11.7%) SPD 23.1% (25.2%)</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV></DIV></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></DIV><BR><BR></DIV></DIV></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></DIV><BR><BR></DIV></DIV></DIV><BR><BR
clear=all><BR>-- <BR>"Poems don't belong to those who write them; they belong to
those who need them" - from movie "Il Postino"<BR>Check out:<BR><A
href="http://www.iww.org/en/blog/1411">http://www.iww.org/en/blog/1411</A><BR><A
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