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Urbana is pretty much the center of the meterologic universe as judged
by the meteorism that<br>
typifies its city government. Thus it's temperature data can be used
for global inferences about <br>
climatic trends. <br>
<br>
Urbana is the furthest northern point at which I ever domiciled, and I
always felt as if there was nothing<br>
between Urbana and the north pole except an ill-maintained barb-wire
fence. <br>
<br>
If there really were such a thing as global warming, it would have to
be for the <br>
benefit of Urbana's frozen few. The Urbana Water Survey has the daily
temperature data<br>
to tell for the asking all the way back to the Gay90's. <br>
<br>
The plot below shows the daily minimum temperatures (T min)for<br>
days below 10F (very cold days under my assumption of what is "cold").<br>
<br>
<br>
<img src="cid:part1.02040508.03070203@pigs.ag" alt=""><br>
<br>
My great-grandmother told me about the terrible winters of her
childhood in the <br>
late 19th century. 1977 and 1978 were truly awful for sure, but not
the coldest it seems.<br>
There might be some rough suggestion of periodicity, but one needs a few<br>
hundred years more data to work it out clearly. The relatively mild
winters<br>
of the 1940 to 1970 were still pretty cold. One doesnt find any trend<br>
suggesting a permanent reprieve from the ravages of those nasty Urbana
winters.<br>
<br>
*<br>
<br>
The international media are suggesting that AGW is verified by the heat
waves<br>
that plague the United States. Below I present the incidence and
intensity<br>
of hot (>92F) days in Urbana. Keillor says that on really hot days
the cats go to the basement <br>
and put their feet in the air. Such data is not readily available and
there could be many variables, <br>
particularly since most cats dislike water, and do generate CO2 and
other volatilities. <br>
<br>
One has to make do with the available data.<br>
<br>
<br>
<img src="cid:part2.06040406.03060507@pigs.ag" alt="" width="721"
height="540"><br>
<br>
I was in-utero for most of 1954 but I don't recall my mother
complaining about the heat,<br>
although she did take me to the doctor because of my profuse
perspiration which has<br>
been a lifetime condition so far. <br>
<br>
I have heard stories about 1936. A certain Mr. J.N. Irvin of Hamilton
County <br>
told me that it was so hot in 1936 that he and his brother used to dig<br>
holes in the yard and sleep in the dust just to stay cool. The data
supports his remembrance<br>
and perhaps the behaviour as well. They didn't have electricity in
Twigg Twp in '36<br>
let alone AC or even Tang Dynasty fans for Anthropogenic Local
Cooling. <br>
They say that in Iowa it was so hot the children used to wet the bed to
stay cool.<br>
<br>
The inconvenient truth seems to be that there is no trend toward any
sort of<br>
warming as judged from Urbana other than the typical cycling
progression of the seasons previously <br>
observed by Enoch. <br>
<br>
There is also a persistent lack of persistence of memory and maybe some
soft clocks.<br>
<br>
<br>
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