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Urbana is a completely unprotected location on vast flat terrain<br>
with no buffering body of water nearby.<br>
<br>
There is good mixing of air with winds coming from all directions.<br>
Urbana appears to be a reasonable sample. <br>
<br>
Indeed it is only one point on the big grid, but it has lots of data, <br>
and one should see <i>something</i> if there is a major shift going on.<br>
<br>
After all, every cloudburst cyclone heatwave dryspell and blizzard<br>
is the result of "climate change" if one believes the media.<br>
<br>
Denier seems to suggest that belief in AGW (like that in GWB) is a
matter of faith.<br>
I would rather say I am not a denier but rather am unconvinced by the
lack of<br>
a thread of evidence. All the warping and woofing is not convincing me
that <br>
it's not all made up of whole cloth.<br>
<br>
The fray is relevant here because those same cats who gave us the
endless war,<br>
the end of democracy, and economic-financial terrorism want to bring us
<br>
embroidered eco-authoritarianism under the cloak of some general good.<br>
<br>
They have a motive.<br>
<br>
Where's the data?<br>
<br>
<br>
<br>
On 07/25/11 2:02, Morton K. Brussel wrote:
<blockquote cite="mid:2D83C648-DE9C-4D08-88EC-CEC896EB8F9F@illinois.edu"
type="cite">
<pre wrap="">It doesn't seem like anything dramatic is happening in these two plots, although they are somewhat hard for the interpretation of any trends, if any existed.
But the far more important point is that Urbana is but one point on the global map. No conclusions can be made from any one location. The global data on temperature and related events are conclusive that warming has been occurring, and, moreover, scientist studying the climate know there are physical reasons why.
I'm surprised you are (still?) a denier.
--Mort
On Jul 24, 2011, at 1:13 AM, E. Wayne Johnson 朱稳森 wrote:
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">Urbana is pretty much the center of the meterologic universe as judged by the meteorism that
typifies its city government. Thus it's temperature data can be used for global inferences about
climatic trends.
Urbana is the furthest northern point at which I ever domiciled, and I always felt as if there was nothing
between Urbana and the north pole except an ill-maintained barb-wire fence.
If there really were such a thing as global warming, it would have to be for the
benefit of Urbana's frozen few. The Urbana Water Survey has the daily temperature data
to tell for the asking all the way back to the Gay90's.
The plot below shows the daily minimum temperatures (T min)for
days below 10F (very cold days under my assumption of what is "cold").
<moz-screenshot-9.png>
My great-grandmother told me about the terrible winters of her childhood in the
late 19th century. 1977 and 1978 were truly awful for sure, but not the coldest it seems.
There might be some rough suggestion of periodicity, but one needs a few
hundred years more data to work it out clearly. The relatively mild winters
of the 1940 to 1970 were still pretty cold. One doesnt find any trend
suggesting a permanent reprieve from the ravages of those nasty Urbana winters.
*
The international media are suggesting that AGW is verified by the heat waves
that plague the United States. Below I present the incidence and intensity
of hot (>92F) days in Urbana. Keillor says that on really hot days the cats go to the basement
and put their feet in the air. Such data is not readily available and there could be many variables,
particularly since most cats dislike water, and do generate CO2 and other volatilities.
One has to make do with the available data.
<幻灯片1.JPG>
I was in-utero for most of 1954 but I don't recall my mother complaining about the heat,
although she did take me to the doctor because of my profuse perspiration which has
been a lifetime condition so far.
I have heard stories about 1936. A certain Mr. J.N. Irvin of Hamilton County
told me that it was so hot in 1936 that he and his brother used to dig
holes in the yard and sleep in the dust just to stay cool. The data supports his remembrance
and perhaps the behaviour as well. They didn't have electricity in Twigg Twp in '36
let alone AC or even Tang Dynasty fans for Anthropogenic Local Cooling.
They say that in Iowa it was so hot the children used to wet the bed to stay cool.
The inconvenient truth seems to be that there is no trend toward any sort of
warming as judged from Urbana other than the typical cycling progression of the seasons previously
observed by Enoch.
There is also a persistent lack of persistence of memory and maybe some soft clocks.
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</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">
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</blockquote>
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