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<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----
<DIV style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A
title=1999wildcat@gmail.com href="mailto:1999wildcat@gmail.com">John Reimann</A>
</DIV>
<DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=socialistdiscussion@yahoogroups.com
href="mailto:socialistdiscussion@yahoogroups.com">socialist discussion</A>
</DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Friday, November 23, 2012 11:09 AM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> [socialistdiscussion] A defeat for Israel?</DIV></DIV>
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<P>The peace deal Netanyahu agreed to is meeting with protests in Israel. Now
the Wall St. Journal weighs in, saying it is a defeat for Israel. I think the
"Arab Spring" had a lot to do with it. Prior to that, the Israeli regime would
not have had to worry about a somewhat more independent Egyptian state making a
clear break. Here's what the WSJ writes:
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>
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class="articleSection first"><A
style="OUTLINE-STYLE: none; LETTER-SPACING: 0px; COLOR: rgb(9,61,114); TEXT-DECORATION: none"
href="http://online.wsj.com/public/search?article-doc-type=%7BReview+%26+Outlook+%28U.S.%29%7D&HEADER_TEXT=review+%26+outlook+%28u.s.">REVIEW
& OUTLOOK</A>
<LI style="BORDER-LEFT: rgb(153,153,153) 1px solid; LETTER-SPACING: 0px"
class=dateStamp>November 22, 2012, 5:30 p.m. ET </LI></UL>
<H1
style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); FONT-FAMILY: Georgia,'Century Schoolbook','Times New Roman',Times,serif; FONT-SIZE: 3.5em; FONT-WEIGHT: normal">Hamas's
Gaza Victory</H1>
<H2
style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); FONT-STYLE: italic; FONT-FAMILY: Georgia,'Century Schoolbook','Times New Roman',Times,serif; COLOR: rgb(51,51,51); FONT-SIZE: 1.6em; FONT-WEIGHT: normal"
class=subhead>The cease-fire leaves the terror group intact and politically
stronger.</H2>
<DIV>
<P
style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); FONT-FAMILY: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">Regarding
America's war in Vietnam, Henry Kissinger once noted that "the guerrilla wins if
he does not lose. The conventional army loses if it does not win." Regarding
Israel's latest war against Hamas in the Gaza Strip, the same considerations
apply.</P>
<P
style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); FONT-FAMILY: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">No
wonder Wednesday's announcement of an Egyptian-brokered cease-fire prompted
enthusiastic cheering in the streets of Gaza, with a Gaza TV station calling it
"victory for the resistance." That's not an idle boast.</P><A
style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); FONT-FAMILY: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif"
name=U9021362889F4B></A>
<P
style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); FONT-FAMILY: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">No
doubt many Gazans were simply relieved to face no more bombing raids. But the
leaders of Hamas also understand that they have emerged politically intact and
strategically stronger after eight days of inconclusive fighting.</P>
<P
style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); FONT-FAMILY: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">The
terrorist group fired more than 1,500 rockets at Israel—forcing millions of
Israelis into bunkers and bomb shelters—but suffered no decisive military
defeat. Hamas openly dared Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to invade
the Gaza Strip, and by not doing so Mr. Netanyahu left the terror leaders alive
to strike again. Hamas also won a new international patron in Egyptian President
Mohamed Morsi, who brokered the cease-fire.</P>
<P
style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); FONT-FAMILY: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">Under
the cease-fire terms, Israel has agreed to launch no ground attacks or targeted
strikes in Gaza such as the one that killed Hamas military supremo Ahmed Jabari
last week. The Egyptian government has been accorded a special role in
maintaining the cease-fire, but that will mean little unless it halts the flood
of arms coming from Iran into the Strip from Egypt's Sinai peninsula. Israel
received a similar guarantee after its last cease-fire with Hamas in 2009, but
the rockets multiplied and with longer ranges.</P><A
style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); FONT-FAMILY: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif"
name=U9021362889NOB></A>
<P
style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); FONT-FAMILY: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">The
Israeli newspaper Haaretz reported Wednesday that the agreement also does not
"force upon [Hamas] the responsibility for enforcing the cease-fire on the other
[terrorist] organizations in the Gaza Strip." That allows Hamas to delegate
rocket attacks to groups like Islamic Jihad while it gains an additional measure
of political impunity. The outcome will enhance Hamas's standing both in the
Arab world and against its Palestinian rival Mahmoud Abbas.</P><A
style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); FONT-FAMILY: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif"
name=U9021362889MNF></A>
<P
style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); FONT-FAMILY: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">Mr.
Netanyahu avoids a costly ground invasion shortly before a January election, and
he also avoids further world condemnation and the risk of a public disagreement
with the Obama Administration. But there's a reason that news of the cease-fire
was greeted with public protests in southern Israeli cities that have taken the
brunt of Palestinian rocket fire.</P>
<P
style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); FONT-FAMILY: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">"Why
did we go to all that trouble," texted one Israeli soldier who had spent the
previous three days poring over target sets in Gaza, "if now we need [Egyptian
President Mohamed] Morsi's permission to take out a ticking bomb?" That view may
spread in Israel as the election nears.</P>
<P
style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); FONT-FAMILY: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">Israel
lives in a bad neighborhood that has become more dangerous since the Arab
Spring, and a case can be made for a cease-fire that buys perhaps a year or two
of quiet on its southern front. Israel has at least degraded Hamas's ability to
attack if there is a war with Iran next year.</P>
<P
style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); FONT-FAMILY: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">But
Iran, whose missiles formed the bulk of Hamas's arsenal, surely noticed that the
Jewish state had an opportunity to strike a decisive military blow but declined
to do so under world pressure. That can only embolden the mullahs as they
prepare for the next, inevitable, confrontation.</P></DIV>
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