<html>
<head>
<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8">
</head>
<body style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class="">
A too-plausible diagnosis. What the data seem to show is that a simple thesis of economic deprivation is (again) wrong.
<div class="">What we have seen instead is a symptom of class resentment & defiance, esp. of the lowest quintile (20%) by the next higher quintile (20%—40%, the “working class"), who think the “tax & spend” Democrats are taxing them, the lower middle class,
to buy the votes of the lowest 20% with welfare measures. ~~ Ron</div>
<div class=""><br class="">
</div>
<div class=""><img apple-inline="yes" id="C835298B-268A-4228-AED9-D7FBE37911E3" src="cid:F445B5C3-840A-4545-AC87-F9F8740D5833" class=""></div>
<div class=""><br class="">
<div class=""><br class="">
<div>
<blockquote type="cite" class="">
<div style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px;" class="">
<span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif; color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.0);" class=""><b class="">From:
</b></span><span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif;" class="">r-szoke <<a href="mailto:emailthis@ms3.lga2.nytimes.com" class="">emailthis@ms3.lga2.nytimes.com</a>><br class="">
</span></div>
<div style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px;" class="">
<span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif; color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.0);" class=""><b class="">Subject:
</b></span><span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif;" class=""><b class=""><a href="http://NYTimes.com" class="">NYTimes.com</a>: The Democratic Party Is in Worse Shape Than You Thought</b><br class="">
</span></div>
<div style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px;" class="">
<span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif; color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.0);" class=""><b class="">Date:
</b></span><span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif;" class="">June 8, 2017 at 12:25:33 PM CDT<br class="">
</span></div>
<div style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px;" class="">
<span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif; color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.0);" class=""><b class="">To:
</b></span><span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif;" class=""><<a href="mailto:r-szoke@illinois.edu" class="">r-szoke@illinois.edu</a>><br class="">
</span></div>
<div style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px;" class="">
<span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif; color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.0);" class=""><b class="">Reply-To:
</b></span><span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif;" class=""><<a href="mailto:r-szoke@illinois.edu" class="">r-szoke@illinois.edu</a>><br class="">
</span></div>
<br class="">
<div class="">
<title class=""></title>
<div class="">
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; color: #333333; margin-left: 20px; margin-right: 20px;" width="601" class="">
<tbody class="">
<tr class="">
<td class="">
<table cellspacing="16" style="width: 100%; background-color: #f0f4f5;" class="">
<tbody class="">
<!-- START: MARKUP FOR MESSAGE -->
<tr class="">
<td colspan="2" style="font-family: Georgia, times, serif; font-size: 17px; color: #333333;" class="">
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td cellspacing="15" colspan="2" style="border-top: 1px solid #cccccc;" class="">
</td>
</tr>
<!-- END: MARKUP FOR MESSAGE -->
<tr class="">
<td style="font-size: 12px; font-family: arial, sans-serif; color: #333333;" class="">
Sent by <a href="mailto:r-szoke@illinois.edu" class="">r-szoke@illinois.edu</a>:</td>
<td style="text-align:right;" class=""><img height="15" src="http://i1.nyt.com/images/misc/nytlogo194x27.gif" style="vertical-align: middle; height: 15px; width: 105px;" width="105" class=""></td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td colspan="2" class="">
<table style="width: 100%; background-color:#ffffff; padding: 14px; border-right: 2px solid #dddddd; border-bottom: 3px solid #cfcfcf; border-top: 1px solid #eeeeee; border-left: 1px solid #eeeeee; border-radius: 4px;" class="">
<tbody class="">
<tr class="">
<td style="vertical-align: top; padding-right: 12px;" class=""><img src="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/06/08/opinion/08edsallWeb/08edsallWeb-thumbStandard.jpg" class=""></td>
<td class="">
<h6 style="font-size: 10px; font-weight: normal; text-transform: uppercase; margin: 0px 0px 2px;" class="">
Contributing Op-Ed Writer</h6>
<h1 style="font-weight: normal; font-family: georgia,'times new roman',times,serif; font-size: 23px; margin: 0; margin-bottom: 4px" class="">
<a href="http://p.nytimes.com/email/re?location=pMJKdIFVI6og8d+ofNlzG9PGflSBE+OV&user_id=ee7558d54531b290bd05280f4b7d6eb4&email_type=eta&task_id=1496942733155846®i_id=0" style="color: #004276; text-decoration: none !important;" class=""><span style="color: #004276" class="">The
Democratic Party Is in Worse Shape Than You Thought</span> </a></h1>
<h6 style="margin: 0 0 5px 0; font-size: 10px; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-weight: normal; color: 808080;" class="">
<span style="text-transform: uppercase;" class="">By THOMAS B. EDSALL</span></h6>
<div style="margin: 0px; font-size: 14px; font-family: georgia, 'times new roman', times, serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);" class="">
Declining turnout among minority, young and single voters is even more dangerous for Democrats than white flight.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<!-- shortUrl does not yet exist -->
<td style="padding: 0; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 11px; color: #333333;" class="">
Or, copy and paste this URL into your browser: <a href="http://p.nytimes.com/email/re?location=pMJKdIFVI6og8d+ofNlzG9PGflSBE+OV&user_id=ee7558d54531b290bd05280f4b7d6eb4&email_type=eta&task_id=1496942733155846®i_id=0" style="color: #004276; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none !important;" class="">
https://nyti.ms/2sWcprI </a></td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td colspan="2" style="padding: 0; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 11px; color: #333333;" class="">
<b class="">Not a Subscriber</b>? To get unlimited access to all New York Times articles, subscribe today.
<a href="http://p.nytimes.com/email/re?location=4z5Q7LhI+KVBjmEgFdYACDuqzkg7rwCIjbQiYyNWYJIW5drsCg04xD2q1X6bqVB/vYPHy+JP5GfoOOml3K0i6GaUY7fZ7jcK869mPAvEGfk=&user_id=ee7558d54531b290bd05280f4b7d6eb4&email_type=eta&task_id=1496942733155846®i_id=0" style="color: #004276; font-weight: bold;" class="">
See Options</a></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td style="border-bottom: 1px solid #cccccc; font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 11px; color: #333333; text-align: center; padding: 20px 0 20px 0;" class="">
To ensure delivery to your inbox, please add <a href="mailto:nytdirect@nytimes.com" style="color: #004276; text-decoration: none !important; font-weight: bold;" class="">
nytdirect@nytimes.com</a> to your address book.</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td style="text-align: center; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; color: #666666; font-size: 10px; text-transform: uppercase; padding-top: 24px; padding-bottom: 8px" class="">
Advertisement</td>
</tr>
<!-- ADX: Begin Frame6A -->
<tr class="">
<td style="padding-top: 0; padding-bottom: 20px; border-bottom: 1px solid #cccccc;" class="">
<div style="height: 90px; width: 336px; margin: 0 auto;" class=""></div>
</td>
</tr>
<!-- ADX: End Frame6A --><!-- START: Each <tr> tag represents a promotional piece -->
<tr class="">
<td style="text-align: center; color: #909090; font-size: 12px; font-family: arial, sans-serif; padding-top: 10px; padding-bottom: 25px" class="">
<a href="http://p.nytimes.com/email/re?location=4z5Q7LhI+KVBjmEgFdYACMlEhIhWVuPIxganfKahJGpDcKtdpfztygRnz23j1z6nDpx4eAAqQbYRMMl5L56EeQ==&user_id=ee7558d54531b290bd05280f4b7d6eb4&email_type=eta&task_id=1496942733155846®i_id=0" style="color: #909090; text-decoration: none !important;" class="">Copyright
2017</a> <span style="padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px" class="">|</span> <a href="http://p.nytimes.com/email/re?location=4z5Q7LhI+KUv6vqdu/zT/DtUzLlQEcSh&user_id=ee7558d54531b290bd05280f4b7d6eb4&email_type=eta&task_id=1496942733155846®i_id=0" style="text-decoration: none !important; color: 909090;" class="">
The New York Times Company</a> <span style="padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px" class="">
|</span> <span class=""><a href="http://NYTimes.com" class="">NYTimes.com</a> 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018</span></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class=""> <br class="webkit-block-placeholder">
</div>
</div>
<img src="http://p.nytimes.com/email/re?location=hdaNaYedr2/IomeWRKt0nffrak8aSGLbvtkkq/r7ihwOf5XePlpJ1w==&user_id=ee7558d54531b290bd05280f4b7d6eb4&email_type=eta&task_id=1496942733155846®i_id=0" class="">
</div>
</blockquote>
</div>
<br class="">
</div>
</div>
</body>
</html>