<html><head><meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html charset=utf-8"></head><body style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><div class="">Olive
Branch in one go; if all goes well (and that's a major "if") Damascus
will control Idlib and Ankara will control Afrin. Roughly, that's the
deal brokered by Moscow. </div><div class=""><span class="fbPhotosPhotoCaption" tabindex="0" aria-live="polite" data-ft="{"tn":"K"}">[Pepe Escobar]</span></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><img class="spotlight" alt="No automatic alt text available." style="width: 960px; height: 565px;" aria-busy="false" src="https://scontent.ford1-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/27073192_10155960423211678_3181442989151957110_n.jpg?oh=bae4ab7356b1ea1124a1002f78824b01&oe=5ADBD437"><br class=""><div><br class=""></div><div><br class=""><blockquote type="cite" class=""><div class="">On Jan 22, 2018, at 10:32 AM, David Green via Peace-discuss <<a href="mailto:peace-discuss@lists.chambana.net" class="">peace-discuss@lists.chambana.net</a>> wrote:</div><br class="Apple-interchange-newline"><div class="">
<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8" class=""><div class=""><div style="font-family:garamond, new york, times, serif;font-size:16px;" class=""><div class=""><h1 class="ydp3e3b2ae5entry-title">Turkey’s Long-Anticipated War With Syrian Kurds Begins in Earnest</h1><span class="ydp3e3b2ae5pagesub">Fight will Strain US Alliances, Syria's Rivalries</span> <!-- .entry-header --> <span class="ydp3e3b2ae5byline"><span class="ydp3e3b2ae5author ydp3e3b2ae5vcard"><span class="ydp3e3b2ae5screen-reader-text"></span> <a class="ydp3e3b2ae5url ydp3e3b2ae5n ydp3e3b2ae5fn" href="https://news.antiwar.com/author/jason/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"><u class=""><font color="#0066cc" class="">Jason Ditz</font></u></a></span></span> <span class="ydp3e3b2ae5posted-on"><span class="ydp3e3b2ae5screen-reader-text">Posted on </span><a href="https://news.antiwar.com/2018/01/21/turkeys-long-anticipated-war-with-syrian-kurds-begins-in-earnest/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class=""><u class=""><font color="#0066cc" class="">January 21, 2018</font></u></a></span> <!-- .entry-footer --> <div class="ydp3e3b2ae5entry-content"><p class="">From Turkey’s initial invasion of Syria at Jarabulus, officials couched it as not just an invasion against ISIS, but against the Kurdish YPG as well. This weekend, Turkish troops pushed into their first YPG district, Syria’s Afrin District.</p><p class=""><img width="320" height="180" align="right" alt="" src="https://news.antiwar.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/00t.jpg" vspace="10" hspace="10" class="">Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan presented this offensive as starting in Afrin, then hitting Manbij, the other Kurdish territory west of the Euphrates. After that, the troops are expected to focus on the border territory, which is all east of the Euphrates.</p><p class="">Not that the Turks are likely to just roll over the Kurds without substantial resistance, after years of US arming of the YPG. Indeed, already the YPG retaliated for the invasion with a missile strike against the <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-turkey-reyhanli/turkish-border-town-hit-by-missile-from-syria-one-killed-32-wounded-mayor-idUSKBN1FA0OM" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class=""><u class=""><font color="#0066cc" class="">Turkish border town of Reyhanli, killing one, wounding 32</font></u></a>.</p><p class="">This is a tough position for other participants in the Syrian War. The US, in particular, is an ally of Turkey, an ally of the YPG, and also an ally of the Free Syrian Army (FSA), a rebel group which has pledged Turkey 25,000 fighters to support the invasion. Both the YPG and FSA are awash in US-provided arms, with the Pentagon having armed YPG, and the CIA armed the FSA.</p><p class="">The US calls for “restraint” are likely not to please anyone, however, as each group is going to see the US is insufficiently supporting them. Turkey has already warned anyone who doesn’t totally endorse the invasion is “supporting terror.”</p><p class="">Syria is facing a similar problem. They don’t get along with the YPG, FSA, or Turkey, but feel obliged to oppose Turkish invasions of their territory. Since Turkey tends to give conquered Syrian territory to the FSA, Syria is liable to support the YPG, who aen’t outright rebels, but rather seek autonomy.</p></div><br class=""></div></div></div>_______________________________________________<br class="">Peace-discuss mailing list<br class=""><a href="mailto:Peace-discuss@lists.chambana.net" class="">Peace-discuss@lists.chambana.net</a><br class="">https://lists.chambana.net/mailman/listinfo/peace-discuss<br class=""></div></blockquote></div><br class=""></body></html>