[Peace-discuss] Fwd: [GushShalom] The Hundred Days of Abu Mazen

Al Kagan akagan at uiuc.edu
Sun Apr 17 12:12:54 CDT 2005


An useful update.

Begin forwarded message:

> From: "Gush Shalom" <otherisr at actcom.co.il>
> Date: April 16, 2005 4:39:59 PM CDT
> To: intl at mailman.gush-shalom.org
> Subject: [GushShalom]   The Hundred Days of Abu Mazen
>
> GUSH SHALOM - pob 3322, Tel-Aviv 61033  www.gush-shalom.org
>  
> The Gush websisite is being renovated and is temporarily located at:
>  http://zope.gush-shalom.org/home/he and English at  
>  http://zope.gush-shalom.org/home/en 
>  
> [ Uri Avnery warns once more of the efforts of Sharon to undermine Abu  
> Mazen, whose popularity in the White House Sharon cannot but perceive  
> as a threat. So far Bush is not impressed and urged the Israeli PM to  
> give Abu Mazen a chance. But Sharon still holds the key: the facts on  
> the ground.]
> The Hundred Days of Abu Mazen  
> Hebrew http://www.geocities.com/keller_adam/avnery_heb.doc עברית
>
>
>
> Uri Avnery 
> 16.4.05
>       Next Saturday, 100 days since Abu Mazen (Mahmud Abbas) assumed  
> the office of President of the Palestinian National Authority, Jews  
> will celebrate Passover, in memory of the Exodus from Egypt - one of  
> the great stories in human annals.
>      According to the story (Exodus 5), Pharaoh ordered the Children  
> of Israel to produce bricks from straw, but did not provide the straw.  
> "And the Children of Israel came and cried unto Pharaoh, saying:  
> Wherefore dealest thou with thy servants? There is no straw given unto  
> thy servants, and they say to us: Make brick!"
>      Abu Mazen might voice the same complaint. He is being asked to  
> fulfill the task he has taken upon himself, without getting the  
> minimum necessary to do so.
>
>
>      After 100 days, what does Abu Mazen's balance sheet look like?
>      In the positive column, there appear some impressive achievements.
>      First of all, the very existence of his regime. That is a  
> striking achievement by itself, which is being ignored because people  
> have become so used to it.
>      The sudden (and still unexplained) death of Yasser Arafat could  
> have caused chaos. Instead, there was an astonishingly smooth  
> transition to the new regime and democratic elections took place  
> without violent incidents. Very few peoples have managed to do that  
> after the death of the Father of the Nation. The entire Palestinian  
> public must be given credit for this. It understood the gravity of the  
> hour and united behind the successor.   
>        Second, the cease-fire. That is an impressive achievement, too.  
> The armed Palestinian organizations ("resistance groups" or "terrorist  
> organizations", according to taste) agreed to a cease-fire vis-a-vis  
> Israel, in spite of the fact that Israel did not declare an official  
> cease-fire vis-a-vis them. True, the informal agreement is being  
> violated here and there, sometimes by the Israelis, sometimes by the  
> Palestinians, but all in all it is honored much more than could have  
> been expected.
>     This is not the result of the weakness of the armed factions. On  
> the contrary, it is possible only because the Palestinians have  
> recovered their self-respect. In the fours years of the second  
> Intifada, they have shown they have hundreds and thousands of fighters  
> ready to sacrifice their lives. They have improvised arms, like the  
> mortars and Qassam missiles, to which the Israeli army has not yet  
> found an answer.  In these circumstances, the cease-fire is not seen  
> as humiliating.
>      (The Israeli side accuses the organizations of using the  
> cease-fire for rearming. Of course. That is the nature of any  
> temporary cease-fire: both sides use it to prepare for the resumption  
> of the fighting.)
>      Third, unification. The agreement of Hamas to join the  
> Palestinian Authority (and perhaps also the PLO) and take part in the  
> elections is a very important achievement. The birth of a national  
> contract augurs well  for the future Palestinian state - especially as  
> it happens in an intense national liberation struggle.
>       Fourth: the change in the American attitude towards the  
> Palestinian people. This should, perhaps, be put on top of the list.  
> Up to now, the American attitude towards the Israeli-Palestinian  
> conflict was 100% in favor of the government of Israel; now there is a  
> shift in favor of the Palestinians. American support for the Israeli  
> government has sunk to only 90%, or perhaps as low as 80%.
>      Abu Mazen's personality must be credited for a considerable part  
> of these achievements. Yasser Arafat, the leader of the fight for  
> liberation, was an forceful, colorful, theatrical personality, who  
> attracted blind admiration and burning hatred. Nearly everyone around  
> the world knew the man in khaki with the keffiyeh headdress. Abu Mazen  
> is almost the exact opposite: an introverted, moderate person without  
> colorful mannerisms. When I got to know him first, some 22 years ago  
> in Tunis, he was already wearing a business suit and tie. He does not  
> arouse opposition. He fights for his convictions without much ado.
>
>      Perhaps the negative column for Abu Mazen derives also from these  
> traits.
>      Arafat was a commander. Abu Mazen is an educator.
>      Arafat, too, preferred agreement to compulsion. That comes from  
> an ancient Arab wisdom, the principle of "Ijma". Discussion continues  
> until a general consensus  is achieved, with every single participant  
> agreeing. For Abu Mazen, that is essential.
>      The entire world demands that he carry out "reforms". It is not  
> quite clear why it should concern the world or the President of the  
> United States how the Palestinians conduct their affairs and how many  
> security services they have. (Arafat deliberately established several  
> armed services, in order to prevent the concentration of armed power  
> in the hands of any single person who might be tempted to carry out a  
> coup-d'etat.)
>      Abu Mazen is expected to consolidate the armed organizations into  
> three services. That is easy to do on paper, but difficult to carry  
> out. There are many commanders, most of them with subordinates who are  
> fiercely loyal to them. None of them is looking for an opportunity to  
> resign.
>      In any case, it is difficult to carry out the reforms asked for.  
> In every Arab society, and especially in Palestinian society, the  
> hamulah, or extended family, is hugely important. Any attempt to  
> ignore it in the implementation of reforms will meet with stiff  
> resistance. Abu Mazen must move cautiously, slowly, trying to build  
> consent. That is a prolonged process, which aims for durable rather  
> than quick results.       There must be no illusion about it: this is  
> exactly what Sharon is hoping for.
>      For him, the sympathy Bush holds for Abu Mazen presents a great  
> danger. It is very uncomfortable for him to share American favors with  
> a Palestinian leader. Any wavering in Washington's position of total  
> support for the Israeli government turns on a red light in Jerusalem.
>       Sharon is too shrewd to attack Abu Mazen frontally. That would  
> infuriate Bush. Therefore, the pitch is: Abu Mazen is a good person,  
> but weak. His regime is collapsing. He is lost.
>
>      But the most serious failure of Abu Mazen, in the eyes of his  
> people, is on the national level: in the first 100 days he has not  
> obtained one single significant concession, neither from Israel nor  
> from the US.
>      Bush does really want to help him. He praises him publicly,  
> rejects Sharon's efforts to belittle him, sends him respected  
> emissaries. But nothing has changed on the ground: the Israeli  
> occupation has not been eased, the daily humiliations at the  
> checkpoints go on, and so does the building of the wall. Not one  
> single "outpost" has been removed, the settlements are being expanded.  
> The Israeli army carries on in the West Bank as if nothing has  
> happened, killing here and arresting there. There is no significant  
> movement towards the release of prisoners. Israelis continue  
> addressing the Palestinians in the same overbearing, humiliating tone  
> used by military governors towards their subjects.
>      When Bush talks about a "Palestinian state with temporary  
> borders", every Palestinian understands that this means the permanent  
> occupation of most of the West Bank. Sharon's "redeployment" looks to  
> them like a plan to turn the Gaza Strip into one huge prison, cut off  
> from the world and the West Bank.
>      Sooner or later, the Palestinian public is going to ask Abu  
> Mazen: Are these the fruits of the cease-fire? Is this the value of  
> American promissory notes?
>
>           Several provocations have been designed to bring about  
> violent reactions, so as to expose Abu Mazen's impotence. One was the  
> announcement about the building of 3500 new housing units in Ma'aleh  
> Adumim settlement. The same goes for the incidents in which  
> Palestinians are killed, without  anybody finding it necessary to  
> punish those responsible or to apologize for the violation of the  
> cease-fire.
>      For the time being, it has not succeeded. Bush needs Abu Mazen no  
> less than Abu Mazen needs Bush. The American president must prove to  
> his public that his military adventures have created a new, free and  
> democratic Middle East. Since the situation in Iraq is shrouded in  
> doubt, Abu Mazen's democratic regime is the only example he can boast  
> of (even if it is not clear what part he played in this). Abu Mazen's  
> collapse would be a big loss for for Bush.  
>
>       Therefore, on the 100 th day of Abu Mazen, the accounts are  
> still not balanced. Like the Children of Israel, he must produce  
> bricks without getting any straw.
>      But in the biblical story, there is a happy end: the Children of  
> Israel were delivered from bondage. One way or another, that will  
> happen to the Palestinians, too. 
>
> #
> March - April 
> TEDDY KATZ - New Historian / Gush Shalom Peace Activist
> to speak in different towns in Canada, US and Mexico
>   
> 23-city schedule + contact data at:
> http://www.geocities.com/keller_adam/Teddy_Katz_speaking_schedule.htm
>  
> photo Halifax, Nova Scotia:
> http://www.geocities.com/keller_adam/Teddy_Dal.jpg
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> t-shirt)
>  
> #
> Truth against Truth - reconciling opposite views on the history of the  
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>   
> Hebrew / עברית
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>  
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> Boycott List of Settlement Products (newly updated)
> Now also with list of settlements
>   
> Hebrew / עברית
> http://gush-shalom.org/Boycott/boycheb.htm
>  
> English
> http://gush-shalom.org/Boycott/boyceng.htm
> #
>  
> #
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>   
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>  
> Send your ad and find the right contacts
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>  
> This could also facilitate joint invitations.
> #
>  
> #
> Palestinian olive oil, new harvest - contact Hava Keller
>  
>  שמן זית!  איכותי
> מיוצר באזור חברון. המחיר, לשני ליטר - 50 שקלים
>  תרומה(  נוספת תתקבל בברכה)
>  קלרחווה  - 03-5227124
>  
> High quality olive oil!
> Produced in the Hebron area. Two liters - 50 Sheqels
> (additional donations appreciated)
>  Hava Keller - 03-5227124
> #
>  
> #
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Al Kagan
Africana Unit, Room 328
University of Illinois Library
1408 W. Gregory Drive
Urbana, IL 61820
USA

tel. 217-333-6519
fax 217-333-2214
akagan at uiuc.edu
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