[Peace-discuss] AGW and the Left
C. G. Estabrook
galliher at uiuc.edu
Tue Feb 26 16:20:41 CST 2008
I don't know whether Cockburn's on to something or not, but I got my
radio partner quite annoyed a few weeks ago when I suggested that the
affect behind AGW looks like that behind 911-Truth -- and I like
Cockburn's suggestion that in each case it may be a displacement from a
largely non-existent Left. --CGE
Morton K. Brussel wrote:
> He continues to go down hill. --mkb
>
>
> On Feb 26, 2008, at 1:20 PM, C. G. Estabrook wrote:
>
>> Friday 22 February 2008
>> Intellectual blasphemy
>> Alexander Cockburn tells spiked that
>> when he dared to question the climate change consensus
>> he was met by a tsunami of self-righteous fury.
>> Alexander Cockburn
>>
>> While the world’s climate is on a warming trend, there is zero
>> evidence that the rise in CO2 levels has anthropogenic origins. For
>> daring to say this I have been treated as if I have committed
>> intellectual blasphemy.
>>
>> In magazine articles and essays I have described in fairly
>> considerable detail, with input from the scientist Martin Hertzberg,
>> that you can account for the current warming by a number of well-known
>> factors - to do with the elliptical course of the Earth in its
>> relationship to the sun, the axis of the Earth in the current period,
>> and possibly the influence of solar flares. There have been similar
>> warming cycles in the past, such as the medieval warming period, when
>> the warming levels were considerably higher than they are now.
>>
>> Yet from left to right, the warming that is occurring today is taken
>> as being man-made, and many have made it into the central plank of
>> their political campaigns. For reasons I find very hard to fathom, the
>> environmental left movement has bought very heavily into the fantasy
>> about anthropogenic global warming and the fantasy that humans can
>> prevent or turn back the warming cycle.
>>
>> This turn to climate catastrophism is tied into the decline of the
>> left, and the decline of the left’s optimistic vision of altering the
>> economic nature of things through a political programme. The left has
>> bought into environmental catastrophism because it thinks that if it
>> can persuade the world that there is indeed a catastrophe, then
>> somehow the emergency response will lead to positive developments in
>> terms of social and environmental justice.
>>
>> This is a fantasy. In truth, environmental catastrophism will, in fact
>> it already has, play into the hands of sinister-as-always corporate
>> interests. The nuclear industry is benefiting immeasurably from the
>> current catastrophism. Last year, for example, the American nuclear
>> regulatory commission speeded up its process of licensing; there is an
>> imminent wave of nuclear plant building. Many in the nuclear industry
>> see in the story about CO2 causing climate change an opportunity to
>> recover from the adverse publicity of Chernobyl.
>>
>> More generally, climate catastrophism is leading to a re-emphasis of
>> the powers of the advanced industrial world, through its various trade
>> mechanisms, to penalise Third World countries. For example, the
>> Indians have just produced an extremely cheap car called the Tata
>> Nano, which will enable poorer Indians to get about more easily
>> without having to load their entire family on to a bicycle. Greens
>> have already attacked the car, and it won’t take long for the WTO and
>> the advanced powers to start punishing India with a lot of
>> missionary-style nonsense about its carbon emissions and so on.
>>
>> The politics of climate change also has potential impacts on farmers.
>> Third World farmers who don’t use seed strains or agricultural
>> procedures that are sanctioned by the international AG corporations
>> and major multilateral institutions and banks controlled by the
>> Western powers will be sabotaged by attacks on their ‘excessive carbon
>> footprint’. The environmental catastrophism peddled by many who claim
>> to be progressive is strengthening the hand of corporate interests
>> over ordinary people.
>>
>> [...]
>>
>> What is sinister about environmental catastrophism is that it diverts
>> attention from hundreds and hundreds of serious environmental concerns
>> that can be dealt with - starting, perhaps, with the emission of
>> nitrous oxides from power plants. Here, in California, if you drive
>> upstate you can see the pollution all up the Central Valley from Los
>> Angeles, a lot of it caused, ironically, by the sulphuric acid
>> droplets from catalytic converters! The problem is that 20 or 30 years
>> ago, the politicians didn’t want to take on the power companies, so
>> they fixed their sights on penalising motorists who are less able to
>> fight back. Decade after decade, power plants have been given a pass
>> on the emissions from their smoke stacks while measures to force
>> citizens to change their behaviour are brought in.
>>
>> Emissions from power plants are something that could be dealt with
>> now. You don’t need to have a world programme called ‘Kyoto’ to fix
>> something like that. The Kyoto Accord must be one of the most
>> reactionary political manifestos in the history of the world; it
>> represents a horrible privileging of the advanced industrial powers
>> over developing nations.
>>
>> The marriage of environmental catastrophism and corporate interests is
>> best captured in the figure of Al Gore. As a politician, he came to
>> public light as a shill for two immense power schemes in the state of
>> Tennessee: the Tennessee Valley Authority and the Oak Ridge Nuclear
>> Laboratory. Gore is not, as he claims, a non-partisan green; he is
>> influenced very much by his background. His arguments, many of which
>> are based on grotesque science and shrill predictions, seem to me to
>> be part of a political and corporate outlook.
>>
>> In today’s political climate, it has become fairly dangerous for a
>> young scientist or professor to step up and say: ‘This is all
>> nonsense.’ It is increasingly difficult to challenge the global
>> warming consensus, on either a scientific or a political level.
>> Academies can be incredibly cowardly institutions, and if one of their
>> employees was to question the discussion of climate change he or she
>> would be pulled to one side and told: ‘You’re threatening our funding
>> and reputation - do you really want to do that?’ I don’t think we
>> should underestimate the impact that kind of informal pressure can
>> have on people’s willingness to think thoroughly and speak openly.
>>
>> One way in which critics are silenced is through the accusation that
>> they are ignoring ‘peer-reviewed science’. Yet oftentimes, peer review
>> is a nonsense. As anyone who has ever put his nose inside a university
>> will know, peer review is usually a mode of excluding the unexpected,
>> the unpredictable and the unrespectable, and forming a mutually
>> back-scratching circle. The history of peer review and how it
>> developed is not a pretty sight. Through the process of peer review,
>> of certain papers being nodded through by experts and other papers
>> being given a red cross, the controllers of the major scientific
>> journals can include what they like and exclude what they don’t like.
>> Peer review is frequently a way of controlling debate, even curtailing
>> it. Many people who fall back on peer-reviewed science seem afraid to
>> have out the intellectual argument.
>>
>> Since I started writing essays challenging the global warming
>> consensus, and seeking to put forward critical alternative arguments,
>> I have felt almost witch-hunted. There has been an hysterical
>> reaction. One individual, who was once on the board of the Sierra
>> Club, has suggested I should be criminally prosecuted. I wrote a
>> series of articles on climate change issues for the Nation, which
>> elicited a level of hysterical outrage and affront that I found to be
>> astounding - and I have a fairly thick skin, having been in the
>> business of making unpopular arguments for many, many years.
>>
>> There was a shocking intensity to their self-righteous fury, as if I
>> had transgressed a moral as well as an intellectual boundary and
>> committed blasphemy. I sometimes think to myself, ‘Boy, I’m glad I
>> didn’t live in the 1450s’, because I would be out in the main square
>> with a pile of wood around my ankles. I really feel that; it is
>> remarkable how quickly the hysterical reaction takes hold and rains
>> down upon those who question the consensus.
>>
>> This experience has given me an understanding of what it must have
>> been like in darker periods to be accused of being a blasphemer; of
>> the summary and unpleasant consequences that can bring. There is a
>> witch-hunting element in climate catastrophism. That is clear in the
>> use of the word ‘denier’ to label those who question claims about
>> anthropogenic climate change. ‘Climate change denier’ is, of course,
>> meant to evoke the figure of the Holocaust denier. This was contrived
>> to demonise sceptics. The past few years show clearly how mass moral
>> panics and intellectual panics become engendered.
>>
>> In my forthcoming book, A Short History of Fear, I explore the link
>> between fearmongering and climate catastrophism. For example, alarmism
>> about population explosion is being revisited through the climate
>> issue. Population alarmism goes back as far as Malthus, of course; and
>> in the environmental movement there has always been a very sinister
>> strain of Malthusianism. This is particularly the case in the US where
>> there has never been as great a socialist challenge as there was in
>> Europe. I suspect, however, that even in Europe, what remains of
>> socialism has itself turned into a degraded Malthusian outlook. It
>> seems clear to me that climate catastrophism represents a new form of
>> the politics of fear.
>>
>> I think people have had enough of peer-reviewed science and experts
>> telling them what they can and cannot think and say about climate
>> change. Climate catastrophism, the impact it is having on people’s
>> lives and on debate, can only really be challenged through rigorous
>> open discussion and through a ‘battle of ideas’, as the conference I
>> spoke at in London last year described it. I hope my book is a salvo
>> in that battle.
>>
>> http://www.spiked-online.com/index.php?/site/printable/4624/
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