[Peace-discuss] Re: Obama's AfPak war
C. G. Estabrook
galliher at uiuc.edu
Sat Oct 18 14:02:57 CDT 2008
I agree with both points. And they apply to both (business) parties. --CGE
Jenifer Cartwright wrote:
> I think the US's speech is -- or at least has been -- more like, We need
> to control the world's oil because we need to control the world. We will
> control yours, whether you like it or not. Not sure we can turn that
> mind-set around very easily, but no way we can stop trying.
> --Jenifer
>
>
> --- On *Fri, 10/17/08, John W. /<jbw292002 at gmail.com>/* wrote:
>
> From: John W. <jbw292002 at gmail.com>
> Subject: Re: [Peace-discuss] Re: Obama's AfPak war
> To: "C. G. Estabrook" <galliher at uiuc.edu>
> Cc: "peace-discuss" <peace-discuss at anti-war.net>
> Date: Friday, October 17, 2008, 2:27 PM
>
> "You Westerners have your watches," the leader observed. "But we
> Taliban have time."
>
> That statement right there is a succinct summary of the entirety of
> modern world history, and of the futility of empire.
>
> I read a book a while back about oil in Africa. As we all know,
> America wants it, but so does China.
>
> But here's the difference, according to the book I read: America
> says, "You have oil that we need. If you don't sell it to us on
> terms that we deem favorable, we're gonna send in our armies and
> kick your ass and take it." We don't say it QUITE so directly, but
> it's pretty close.
>
> China, on the other hand, says, "You have oil that we need. We'd
> like to buy it from you at a fair market price. And to help sweeten
> the pot, what type of infrastructure do you need? We have a million
> engineers, laborers, plenty of heavy equipment. We'll build you
> roads, dams, whatever you need for your country."
>
> Now if you were running an African country, who would YOU want to
> sell your oil to?
>
> And why doesn't America ever think to try honey rather than vinegar,
> the carrot rather than the stick? Is it really so impossible for us
> to change our paradigm? Not only would it make us more friends and
> fewer terrorist enemies in the world, but wouldn't it even end up
> COSTING us FAR less in the long run?
>
> John Wason
>
>
> On Fri, Oct 17, 2008 at 10:47 AM, C. G. Estabrook <galliher at uiuc.edu
> <mailto:galliher at uiuc.edu>> wrote:
>
> [From Nir Rosen, "How We Lost the War We Won: A Journey Into
> Taliban-Controlled Afghanistan," Rolling Stone, Issue 1064
> (October 30, 2008). --CGE]
>
> ...it is foolhardy to believe that the Americans can prevail
> where the Russians failed. At the height of the occupation, the
> Soviets had 120,000 of their own troops in Afghanistan,
> buttressed by roughly 300,000 Afghan troops. The Americans and
> their allies, by contrast, have 65,000 troops on the ground,
> backed up by only 137,000 Afghan security forces — and they face
> a Taliban who enjoy the support of a well-funded and highly
> organized network of Islamic extremists. "The end for the
> Americans will be just like for the Russians," says a former
> commander who served in the Taliban government. "The Americans
> will never succeed in containing the conflict. There will be
> more bleeding. It's coming to the same situation as it did for
> the communist forces, who found themselves confined to the
> provincial capitals."
>
> Simply put, it is too late for Bush's "quiet surge" — or even
> for Barack Obama's plan for a more robust reinforcement — to
> work in Afghanistan. More soldiers on the ground will only lead
> to more contact with the enemy, and more air support for troops
> will only lead to more civilian casualties that will alienate
> even more Afghans. Sooner or later, the American government will
> be forced to the negotiating table, just as the Soviets were
> before them.
>
> "The rise of the Taliban insurgency is not likely to be
> reversed," says Abdulkader Sinno, a Middle East scholar and the
> author of Organizations at War in Afghanistan and Beyond. "It
> will only get stronger. Many local leaders who are sitting on
> the fence right now — or are even nominally allied with the
> government — are likely to shift their support to the Taliban in
> the coming years. What's more, the direct U.S. military
> involvement in Afghanistan is now likely to spill over into
> Pakistan. It may be tempting to attack the safe havens of the
> Taliban and Al Qaeda across the border, but that will only
> produce a worst-case scenario for the United States.. Attacks by
> the U.S. would attract the support of hundreds of millions of
> Muslims in South Asia. It would also break up Pakistan, leading
> to a civil war, the collapse of its military and the possible
> unleashing of its nuclear arsenal."
>
> In the same speech in which he promised a surge, Bush vowed that
> he would never allow the Taliban to return to power in
> Afghanistan.. But they have already returned, and only
> negotiation with them can bring any hope of stability. Iraq,
> Afghanistan and Pakistan "are all theaters in the same overall
> struggle," the president declared, linking his administration's
> three greatest foreign-policy disasters in one broad vision. In
> the end, Bush said, we must have "faith in the power of freedom."
>
> But the Taliban have their own faith, and so far, they are
> winning. On my last day in Kabul, a Western aid official reminds
> me of the words of a high-ranking Taliban leader, who recently
> explained why the United States will never prevail in Afghanistan.
>
> "You Westerners have your watches," the leader observed. "But we
> Taliban have time."
>
>
> http://www.rollingstone.com/news/story/23612315/how_we_lost_the_war_we_won
>
>
> -------- Original Message --------
> Subject: Obama's AfPak war
> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2008 23:02:03 -0500
>
> [On yesterday's Democracy Now!, Amy Goodman interviewed Nir
> Rosen, whom Noam
> Chomsky calls "one of the most astute and knowledgeable
> correspondents in the
> region." Rosen says that Obama "needs to prove, as a Democrat,
> that he too can
> kill brown people." --CGE]
>
> ...
>
>
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