[Peace-discuss] High Noon in NY, 9/29

C. G. Estabrook galliher at uiuc.edu
Mon Sep 29 11:34:45 CDT 2008


I meant that the market drop and the "flight to quality" in Treasury notes 
might mean that money people were thinking that the bailout bill would fail in 
Congress.

The interesting Intrade Prediction Market suggests that there's only a 10% 
chance of its passing. --CGE


Jenifer Cartwright wrote:
> No thanks, won't take that bet :-(
>  --Jenifer
> 
> --- On *Mon, 9/29/08, C. G. Estabrook /<galliher at uiuc.edu>/* wrote:
> 
>     From: C. G. Estabrook <galliher at uiuc.edu>
>     Subject: Re: [Peace-discuss] High Noon in NY, 9/29
>     To: "peace-discuss" <peace-discuss at anti-war.net>
>     Date: Monday, September 29, 2008, 11:11 AM
> 
>     Sorry. Meant for another correspondent, this was sent in error to peace-discuss 
>     (altho' I'd be happy to hear what people think of the question).  --CGE
> 
> 
>     C. G. Estabrook wrote:
>     > S&P down more than 3.5% and Treasury note yield down 20 basis points. 
> 
>     > Bets that bailout will be defeated in Congress?
>     > ...



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