[Peace-discuss] no green light?

[Randall Cotton]

Well, I think we can be certain that my premise will be tested very soon.

I don't think there's any doubt that the rockets will soon fly again
(because Israel will continue to inflict the blockade, an act of war). And
Israel will subsequently repeat what they just did to a greater or lesser
extent. Then we'll see what "change" there is in this administration
regarding the Middle East. As I said at the last meeting, given the
magnitude of the Israeli-perpetrated horrors in Gaza and given the current
Obama-bubble honeymoon (his influence and political capital will likely
only decline from this point on), if Obama doesn't demonstrate a change of
course regarding Israel/Gaza in the next 2 or 3 weeks, I'd write off any
hopes of substantial "change" in Middle-East policy in particular and
foreign policy in general.

So I could be wrong, but we'll see soon enough.

R

----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Jenifer Cartwright" <jencart13 at yahoo.com>
To: "C. G. Estabrook" <galliher at uiuc.edu>; "Stuart Levy"
<slevy at ncsa.uiuc.edu>
Cc: <peace-discuss at lists.chambana.net>; "Randall Cotton"
<recotton at earthlink.net>
Sent: Tuesday, January 20, 2009 4:29 PM
Subject: Re: [Peace-discuss] no green light?


Ah, if only...
--Jenifer

--- On Tue, 1/20/09, Stuart Levy <slevy at ncsa.uiuc.edu> wrote:

From: Stuart Levy <slevy at ncsa.uiuc.edu>
Subject: Re: [Peace-discuss] no green light?
To: "C. G. Estabrook" <galliher at uiuc.edu>
Cc: peace-discuss at lists.chambana.net, "Randall Cotton"
<recotton at earthlink.net>
Date: Tuesday, January 20, 2009, 12:32 PM

On Tue, Jan 20, 2009 at 11:06:49AM -0600, C. G. Estabrook wrote:
> *Israel followed a similar schedule in its withdrawal from Lebanon -- in
> the midst of the last administration.

Hmm, though remember that Israel's Lebanon bombardment had become
widely unpopular at home by the time they withdrew -- it was seen
as a major military failure.  The Gaza invasion seems to be still
highly popular in Israel, despite some internal and many external
protests.
They could easily have stayed longer and done more damage.

I agree with Randall -- the timing of Israel's agreeing to a ceasefire
is not a coincidence.   It really might relate to Israel being cautious
about pursuing a universally condemned war at the time of inauguration
of a president whose support they want.
_______________________________________________
Peace-discuss mailing list
Peace-discuss at lists.chambana.net
http://lists.chambana.net/cgi-bin/listinfo/peace-discuss