[Peace-discuss] Hydrocarbon War and Sanctions

[Boyle, Francis A]

Yeah, follow the oil and gas. Fab.

Francis A. Boyle
Law Building
504 E. Pennsylvania Ave.
Champaign IL 61820 USA
217-333-7954 (phone)
217-244-1478 (fax)
(personal comments only)

From: C G Estabrook [mailto:cgestabrook at gmail.com]
Sent: Sunday, July 30, 2017 12:22 PM
To: Boyle, Francis A <fboyle at illinois.edu>; peace-discuss at anti-war.net
Cc: Karen Aram <karenaram at hotmail.com>; David Green <davegreen84 at yahoo.com>; David Johnson <davidjohnson1451 at comcast.net>; Whitney Rich <richwhitney at frontier.com>; tomasroyer at gmail.com; Vukoni Lupa-Lasaga <lupalasaga at gmail.com>; Nick G <Ngoodell42 at gmail.com>; Stuart Levy <stuartnlevy at gmail.com>; Karen Medina <kmedina67 at gmail.com>; Mildred O'brien <moboct1 at aim.com>
Subject: Hydrocarbon War and Sanctions

<https://sputniknews.com/columnists/201707291055991504-us-russia-sanctions-germany-trump/>


[Pepe Escobar] Economic war has been declared against Russia for at least three years now ... this latest [sanctions] package also declares economic war against Europe, especially Germany.


That centers on the energy front, by demonizing the implementation of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline and forcing the EU to buy US natural gas.


Make no mistake; the EU leadership will counterpunch…


...Moscow, among other actions, will retaliate by banning all American IT companies and all US agricultural products from the Russian market, as well as exporting titanium to Boeing (30% of which comes from Russia).


On the Russia-China strategic partnership front, trying to restrict Russia-EU energy deals will only allow more currency swaps between the ruble and the yuan; a key plank of the post-US dollar multipolar world.


...Even without considering the stellar historical record of Washington not only meddling but bombing and regime-changing vast swathes of the planet — from Iraq and Libya to the current threats against Iran, Venezuela and North Korea — the Russia-gate hysteria about meddling in the 2016 US presidential election is a non-story, by now thoroughly debunked.


The heart of the matter is, once again, energy wars.


...the message in these sanctions is the EU has no future unless it buys US natural gas to cut out Russia.


To deny Russia the natural gas market of the EU was the goal behind the just lost war in Syria to put the Qatar-Saudi Arabia-Syria-Turkey-EU pipeline in and the opening to Iran for an Iran-Iraq-Syria-Turkey-EU pipeline. None of these plans worked.


...the 2014 oil price war against Russia, orchestrated by the dumping of Gulf States' surplus oil or reserve capacity on the world market. Since this has failed to bring Russia to its knees, the destruction of the Russian natural gas market in the EU has become a national priority for the United States.


As it stands, 30% of all EU oil and natural gas imports come from Russia. In parallel, the Russia-China energy partnership is being progressively enhanced. Russia is already geared to increase oil and gas exports to China and Asia as a whole.


The leadership in Berlin is now convinced that Washington is jeopardizing Germany's energy diversification/energy security via the sanctions war. Russian natural gas and oil is secured by overland routes and is not dependent on the oceans, which are no longer under United States control. If Russia in response to United States belligerency ... redirects all its natural gas and oil exports to China and Asia, Europe will be utterly dependent on largely insecure sources of natural gas and oil such as the Middle East and Africa.
And that bring us to the "nuclear" possibility in the horizon; a Germany-Russia alignment in a Reinsurance Treaty, as first established by Bismarck. CIA-related US Think Tankland is now actively discussing the possibility.


...The United States has had enough of Germany and what it considers dumping of German products on the United States through rigged currency. They are now threatening Germany with sanctions, and there is nothing Germany can do with the EU on their back facing vetoes from Poland, who is giving them trouble once again. The fools in Congress are really going after Germany, and throwing Germany in the arms of Russia.


A possible Germany-Russia alliance ... rounds up the China/Russia/Germany entente capable of reorganizing the entire Eurasian land mass.


The Russia-China strategic partnership is extremely attractive to German business, as it smoothes access via the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).


...the US is at war with China and Russia (but not Trump, our President) and Germany is having second thoughts about being nuclear cannon fodder for the US... in Germany, they are thinking of renewing the Reinsurance Treaty with Russia. No one trusts this US Congress; it is considered a lunatic asylum.


Merkel may be asked to leave for the leadership of the UN, and then the treaty would be signed. It will shake the world and end any thought of the United States being a global power, which it isn't anymore...



On Jul 27, 2017, at 9:29 AM, C G Estabrook <cgestabrook at gmail.com<mailto:cgestabrook at gmail.com>> wrote:

Even the ‘Hydrocarbon War’ (1990-present) can be seen as just one aspect of US war-making since 1945, a period in which US presidents have killed more than 20 million people to maintain the world economic dominance that the US 1% inherited after World War II, the US being the only undamaged major country in 1945.

US policy-makers since the “Open Door’ (1899) saw the greatest threat to the US economic elite to be the economic integration of Eurasia, under whatever auspices. (That’s what WWII in the Pacific was about.) Here the great gain was the destruction of the Greater East Asia Co-prosperity Sphere (and the atomic intimidation of the USSR at Hiroshima and Nagasaki) - and the great setback was 'the loss of China' in 1949. (That’s what the Vietnam War was about - the maintenance of US economic dominance in Asia-Pacific.)

The Israeli attack on Egypt in 1967 destroyed secular Arab nationalism (and aided the rise of religious resistance - radical Islam - which was encouraged by the US, just as Israel encouraged Hamas against the the secular PLO). Israel's ’Six-Day War,’ in 1967, delivered control of Mideast energy resources ('hydrocarbons’) to the US. Israel, which the US had dismissed in the Suez Crisis a decade earlier, became the leading US client and the “stationary aircraft carrier” for US control of the Mideast.

It’s control of - and not just access to - those hydrocarbons that the US insists upon. The US in fact imports little oil from the Mideast for domestic purposes: most of what the US uses at home comes from the the Atlantic basin - the US itself, Canada, Venezuela, and Nigeria. But control of the greatest source of world energy gives the US government a choke-hold over other economies that do depend on it, from Germany to China. (The Pentagon refers to this situation as “offshore control” of China - although some have suggested that the growth of renewables and the current China-Russia entente substantially reduces that offshore control - and fuels US war provocations against China, especially in the S. China Sea, as well as the TPP, in an alternate attempt to retard Chinese economic development.)

A generation ago, US planners feared that popular revulsion at what the US had done in SE Asia (by 1969, 70% of Americans told pollsters that the US war in Vietnam was “fundamentally wrong and immoral,” not “a mistake”) would prevent US military operations to retard Asian development - the “Vietnam syndrome.” The Hydrocarbon War was also meant to control the only enemy the US ruling class really fears - the US public. After the First Gulf War, President Bush Sr., with his family’s characteristic candor, exclaimed, “...by God, we've kicked the Vietnam syndrome once and for all!”

America’s WWII hegemony continues to decline relatively, as Eurasia develops and integrates economically. In response, the US political establishment produced the only president ever to be at war throughout two presidential terms: President Obama bombed eight countries and conducted what was correctly called 'The Most Extreme Terrorist Campaign of Modern Times' - his drone assassinations, with which he killed thousands, mostly civilians, including hundreds of children. The goal remained as it had been for more than a century: the world economic dominance of the US economic elite - particularly in regard to Eurasia - for which Mideast hydrocarbons were an instrument - perhaps increasingly ineffective.

—CGE



On Jul 27, 2017, at 7:47 AM, Boyle, Francis A <fboyle at illinois.edu<mailto:fboyle at illinois.edu>> wrote:

Actually,  we have been at war continuously  since Bush Sr.’s War against Iraq to steal Persian Gulf Oil and Gas in 1990-1991—27 years. Thucydides looked at a series of wars on the Greek Peninsula over a period of 27 years and said, no, this is one war, which he called the Peloponnesian War. So what we have seen here for the past 27 years is not a series of wars, but one war: The Hydrocarbon War by the United States to steal the world’s oil and gas. Fab.

Francis A. Boyle
Law Building
504 E. Pennsylvania Ave.
Champaign IL 61820 USA
217-333-7954 (phone)
217-244-1478 (fax)
(personal comments only)

From: Boyle, Francis A
Sent: Wednesday, July 26, 2017 4:51 PM
To: Karen Aram <karenaram at hotmail.com<mailto:karenaram at hotmail.com>>; C G Estabrook <cgestabrook at gmail.com<mailto:cgestabrook at gmail.com>>; David Green <davegreen84 at yahoo.com<mailto:davegreen84 at yahoo.com>>; David Johnson <davidjohnson1451 at comcast.net<mailto:davidjohnson1451 at comcast.net>>; Whitney Rich <richwhitney at frontier.com<mailto:richwhitney at frontier.com>>
Cc: tomasroyer at gmail.com<mailto:tomasroyer at gmail.com>; Vukoni Lupa-Lasaga <lupalasaga at gmail.com<mailto:lupalasaga at gmail.com>>; Nick G <Ngoodell42 at gmail.com<mailto:Ngoodell42 at gmail.com>>; Stuart Levy <stuartnlevy at gmail.com<mailto:stuartnlevy at gmail.com>>; Karen Medina <kmedina67 at gmail.com<mailto:kmedina67 at gmail.com>>; Mildred O'brien <moboct1 at aim.com<mailto:moboct1 at aim.com>>
Subject: RE: AWARE Anti-War Teach In

Maybe we can think of this event as:

“Light at the End of the Tunnel”

After 16 years of war.

Fab


-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://lists.chambana.net/pipermail/peace-discuss/attachments/20170730/1fed3cb1/attachment-0001.html>