[Peace-discuss] persistence of data

["E. Wayne Johnson 朱稳森"]

Urbana is pretty much the center of the meterologic universe as judged 
by the meteorism that
typifies its city government.  Thus it's temperature data can be used 
for global inferences about
climatic trends.

Urbana is the furthest northern point at which I ever domiciled, and I 
always felt as if there was nothing
between Urbana and the north pole except an ill-maintained barb-wire fence.

If there really were such a thing as global warming, it would have to be 
for the
benefit of Urbana's frozen few.  The Urbana Water Survey has the daily 
temperature data
to tell for the asking all the way back to the Gay90's.

The plot below shows the daily minimum temperatures (T min)for
days below 10F (very cold days under my assumption of what is "cold").




My great-grandmother told me about the terrible winters of her childhood 
in the
late 19th century.  1977 and 1978 were truly awful for sure, but not the 
coldest it seems.
There might be some rough suggestion of periodicity, but one needs a few
hundred years more data to work it out clearly.  The relatively mild winters
of the 1940 to 1970 were still pretty cold.  One doesnt find any trend
suggesting a permanent reprieve from the ravages of those nasty Urbana 
winters.

*

The international media are suggesting that AGW is verified by the heat 
waves
that plague the United States.  Below I present the incidence and intensity
of hot (>92F) days in Urbana.  Keillor says that on really hot days the 
cats go to the basement
and put their feet in the air.  Such data is not readily available and 
there could be many variables,
particularly since most cats dislike water, and do generate CO2 and 
other volatilities.

One has to make do with the available data.




I was in-utero for most of 1954 but I don't recall my mother complaining 
about the heat,
although she did take me to the doctor because of my profuse 
perspiration which has
been a lifetime condition so far.

I have heard stories about 1936.  A certain Mr. J.N. Irvin of Hamilton 
County
told me that it was so hot in 1936 that he and his brother used to dig
holes in the yard and sleep in the dust just to stay cool.  The data 
supports his remembrance
and perhaps the behaviour as well.  They didn't have electricity in 
Twigg Twp in '36
let alone AC or even Tang Dynasty fans for Anthropogenic Local Cooling.
They say that in Iowa it was so hot the children used to wet the bed to 
stay cool.

The inconvenient truth seems to be that there is no trend toward any sort of
warming as judged from Urbana other than the typical cycling progression 
of the seasons previously
observed by Enoch.

There is also a persistent lack of persistence of memory and maybe some 
soft clocks.


-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://lists.chambana.net/pipermail/peace-discuss/attachments/20110724/41308668/attachment-0001.html>
-------------- next part --------------
A non-text attachment was scrubbed...
Name: moz-screenshot-9.png
Type: image/png
Size: 119569 bytes
Desc: not available
URL: <http://lists.chambana.net/pipermail/peace-discuss/attachments/20110724/41308668/attachment-0001.png>
-------------- next part --------------
A non-text attachment was scrubbed...
Name: ???1.JPG
Type: image/jpeg
Size: 72689 bytes
Desc: not available
URL: <http://lists.chambana.net/pipermail/peace-discuss/attachments/20110724/41308668/attachment-0001.jpe>