[Peace-discuss] Rasmussen says congressional election tied.

[E. Wayne Johnson]

Wednesday, October 10, 2018

With less than a month to Election Day, the Generic Congressional Ballot 
is now dead even.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey finds that 45% 
of Likely U.S. Voters would choose the Democratic candidate if the 
elections for Congress were held today. Another 45% would opt for the 
Republican. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and eight 
percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here 
<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/questions/pt_survey_questions/october_2018/questions_generic_congressional_ballot_september_30_october_4_2018>.) 


Last week, 47% of voters said they would choose the Democratic candidate 
while 42% said they would choose the Republican. It is unclear whether 
the sudden jump to a tie vote is a reflection of the anger surrounding 
the Kavanaugh confirmation process, but we will continue to watch this 
in the weeks ahead.

Since Rasmussen Reports began the weekly surveying in early May, 
<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/platinum/historical_data/generic_congressional_ballot_new_trends> 
Democrats have led every week but one in mid-August when the two parties 
were tied at 44% apiece. Their lead has ranged from one to eight points.

At this time in 2014 
<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/platinum/historical_data/generic_congressional_ballot_trends>, 
prior to the last non-presidential year congressional elections, 
Democrats held a 41% to 39% lead. But Republicans went on to gain 
control of the Senate in those elections and increase their majority in 
the House of Representatives.

Republicans are madder about the Kavanaugh controversy than Democrats 
are and more determined to vote in the upcoming elections because of it.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 
54% of all Likely U.S. Voters say they are more likely to vote in the 
upcoming midterm elections because of the controversy surrounding 
President Trump’s U.S. Supreme Court nominee. Only nine percent (9%) say 
they are less likely to vote. Thirty-four percent (34%) say the 
controversy will have no impact on their vote. (To see survey question 
wording, click here 
<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/questions/pt_survey_questions/october_2018/questions_anger_october_7_8_2018>.) 


Sixty-two percent (62%) of Republicans are more likely to vote because 
of the Kavanaugh controversy, compared to 54% of Democrats and 46% of 
voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Sixty-two percent (62%) of all voters are angry about the U.S. Senate’s 
treatment of Kavanaugh, with 42% who are Very Angry. Fifty-six percent 
(56%) are angry about how the Senate treated Christine Blasey Ford, the 
woman who accused Kavanaugh of sexual assault, including 35% who are 
Very Angry.

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