[Peace-discuss] Rasmussen says congressional election tied.

C G Estabrook cgestabrook at gmail.com
Thu Oct 11 21:41:04 UTC 2018


The midterm election will be assessed not in regard to individual contests but on which party emerges in control fo Congress. 

The war-mongering 'Russiagate' Democrats should be defeated, despite the incompetence of the Republicans.

—CGE

> On Oct 11, 2018, at 2:36 PM, E. Wayne Johnson via Peace-discuss <peace-discuss at lists.chambana.net> wrote:
> 
> Wednesday, October 10, 2018
> With less than a month to Election Day, the Generic Congressional Ballot is now dead even.
> 
> The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters would choose the Democratic candidate if the elections for Congress were held today. Another 45% would opt for the Republican. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here <http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/questions/pt_survey_questions/october_2018/questions_generic_congressional_ballot_september_30_october_4_2018>.)
> 
> Last week, 47% of voters said they would choose the Democratic candidate while 42% said they would choose the Republican. It is unclear whether the sudden jump to a tie vote is a reflection of the anger surrounding the Kavanaugh confirmation process, but we will continue to watch this in the weeks ahead.
> 
> Since Rasmussen Reports began the weekly surveying in early May, <http://www.rasmussenreports.com/platinum/historical_data/generic_congressional_ballot_new_trends> Democrats have led every week but one in mid-August when the two parties were tied at 44% apiece. Their lead has ranged from one to eight points. 
> 
> At this time in 2014 <http://www.rasmussenreports.com/platinum/historical_data/generic_congressional_ballot_trends>, prior to the last non-presidential year congressional elections, Democrats held a 41% to 39% lead. But Republicans went on to gain control of the Senate in those elections and increase their majority in the House of Representatives.
> Republicans are madder about the Kavanaugh controversy than Democrats are and more determined to vote in the upcoming elections because of it.
> 
> A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 54% of all Likely U.S. Voters say they are more likely to vote in the upcoming midterm elections because of the controversy surrounding President Trump’s U.S. Supreme Court nominee. Only nine percent (9%) say they are less likely to vote. Thirty-four percent (34%) say the controversy will have no impact on their vote. (To see survey question wording, click here <http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/questions/pt_survey_questions/october_2018/questions_anger_october_7_8_2018>.)
> 
> Sixty-two percent (62%) of Republicans are more likely to vote because of the Kavanaugh controversy, compared to 54% of Democrats and 46% of voters not affiliated with either major political party. 
> 
> Sixty-two percent (62%) of all voters are angry about the U.S. Senate’s treatment of Kavanaugh, with 42% who are Very Angry. Fifty-six percent (56%) are angry about how the Senate treated Christine Blasey Ford, the woman who accused Kavanaugh of sexual assault, including 35% who are Very Angry.
> 
> ***
> 
> 
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