[Peace-discuss] "Believe nothing until it's officially denied"

Robert Naiman naiman.uiuc at gmail.com
Sun Mar 29 13:23:11 CDT 2009


I don't think U.S. ground troops fighting in Pakistan in any numbers  
in the forseeable future is a likely prospect. There are people in the  
U.S.    government who would very much like to do this, but the  
Pakistani government and military have made very clear that this is a  
red line that they have no intention of allowing the U.S. to cross.

There are many bad things ahead, but this is not likely to be one of  
them.

Sent from my iPhone

On Mar 29, 2009, at 10:52 AM, "C. G. Estabrook"  
<galliher at illinois.edu> wrote:

> [That maxim is ascribed to a number of experienced journalists, from  
> the late I. F. Stone to Alex Cockburn's father, Claud.  Like the  
> psychoanalyst, the observer of governments should always ask why  
> something is denied.  --CGE]
>
>    Obama Rules Out US Troops In Pakistan
>
> WASHINGTON (AP) — As he carries out a retooled strategy in Afghanist 
> an, President Barack Obama says he will consult with Pakistan's lead 
> ers before pursuing terrorist hideouts in that country.
>
> Obama said U.S. ally Pakistan needs to be more accountable, but  
> ruled out deploying U.S. troops there. "Our plan does not change the  
> recognition of Pakistan as a sovereign government," the president  
> told CBS' Face the Nation in an interview broadcast Sunday.
>
> The president also bemoaned the tenuous security situation in  
> Afghanistan, saying, "Unless we get a handle on it now, we're gonna  
> be in trouble." He made clear that his new strategy for the long war  
> is "not going to be an open-ended commitment of infinite resources"  
> from the United States.
>
> In a wide-ranging interview, Obama sought to counter the notion that  
> Afghanistan has become his war. He emphasized that it started on  
> George W. Bush's watch.
>
> "I think it's America's war. And it's the same war that we initiated  
> after 9/11 as a consequence of those attacks," Obama said. "The  
> focus over the last seven years, I think, has been lost."
>
> Obama taped the interview Friday, the same day he launched the fresh  
> effort to defeat al-Qaeda terrorists in Pakistan and Afghanistan,  
> widening a war that began after terrorists struck the U.S. on Sept.  
> 11, 2001. He set new benchmarks and ordered 4,000 more troops to the  
> war zone as well as hundreds of civilians and increased aid. The  
> plan does not include an exit timeline.
>
> Defense Secretary Robert Gates, in an interview on Fox News Sunday,  
> said the short-term objectives for U.S. forces in Afghanistan have  
> narrowed under Obama's new strategy even as a flourishing democracy  
> in Afghanistan remains a long-term goal.
>
> "I think what we need to focus on and focus our efforts is making  
> headway and reversing the Taliban's momentum and strengthening the  
> Afghan army and police, and really going after al-Qaeda, as the  
> president said," Gates said.
>
> al-Qaeda terrorists are still a serious threat and retain the  
> ability to plan attacks against the United States even though they  
> have been inhibited over the past several years, Gates said.
>
> Both Pakistan and Afghanistan have praised the new U.S. strategy for  
> dealing with growing violence in the region.
>
> But Obama has irked Pakistan since taking office in January by  
> retaining a powerful but controversial weapon left over from the  
> Bush administration's fight against terrorism: unmanned Predator  
> drone missile strikes on Pakistan along its border with Afghanistan.
>
> Pakistan has urged Obama to halt the strikes. But Gates has signaled  
> to Congress that the U.S. would continue to go after al-Qaeda inside  
> Pakistan, and senior Obama administration officials have called the  
> strikes effective.
>
> Without directly referring to the strikes, Obama said: "If we have a  
> high-value target within our sights, after consulting with Pakistan,  
> we're going after them. But our main thrust has to be to help  
> Pakistan defeat these extremists."
>
> Asked if he meant he would put U.S. troops on the ground in  
> Pakistan, Obama said: "No." He noted that Pakistan is a sovereign  
> nation and said: "We need to work with them and through them to deal  
> with al-Qaeda. But we have to hold them much more accountable."
>
> "What we wanna do is say to the Pakistani people: You are our  
> friends, you are our allies. We are going to give you the tools to  
> defeat al-Qaeda and to root out these safe havens. But we also  
> expect some accountability. And we expect that you understand the  
> severity and the nature of the threat," Obama added.
>
> His strategy is built on an ambitious goal of boosting the Afghan  
> army from 80,000 to 134,000 troops by 2011 — and greatly increasing  
> training by U.S. troops accompanying them — so the Afghan military c 
> an defeat Taliban insurgents and take control of the war.
>
> In the interview, Obama said he won't assume that more troops will  
> result in an improved situation. "There may be a point of  
> diminishing returns in terms of troop levels. We've gotta also make  
> sure that our civilian efforts, our diplomatic efforts and our  
> development efforts, are just as robustly encouraged."
>
> Obama agreed that things are worse than ever in Afghanistan, and  
> then sought to clarify his point.
>
> "They're not worse than they were when the Taliban was in charge and  
> al-Qaeda was operating with impunity," Obama said. But, he added,  
> "We have seen a deterioration over the last several years."
>
> "This is gonna be hard," Obama said. "I'm under no illusions. If it  
> was easy, it would have already been completed." He also stressed  
> the need to be flexible. "We will continue to monitor and adjust our  
> strategies to make sure that we're not just going down blind alleys."
>
> Richard Holbrooke, U.S. envoy to Pakistan and Afghanistan, dismissed  
> comparing the war in Afghanistan to U.S. involvement in Vietnam more  
> than a generation ago.
>
> "The Viet Cong and the North Vietnamese never posed any direct  
> threat to the United States and its homeland," Holbrooke, a Vietnam  
> veteran, said on "State of the Union" on CNN.
>
> "The people we are fighting in Afghanistan, and the people they are  
> sheltering in western Pakistan, pose a direct threat. Those are the  
> men of 9/11, the people who killed Benazir Bhutto," Holbrooke said,  
> referring to the slain former Pakistan prime minister. "And you can  
> be sure that, as we sit here today, they are planning further  
> attacks on the United States and our allies."
>
> Copyright 2009 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This  
> material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
>
> http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2009-03-29-pakistan-obama_N.htm
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