[Peace-discuss] Nate Silver: Paul Moves Into Lead in Iowa Forecast (driven by Dems and independents)

["E. Wayne Johnson 朱稳森"]

One reason often given for crossover voters in the primary is
that one party is trying to weaken the other by casting votes for
a cat's paw.

In this case, it's citizens who care about their country and their world
who are pulling for Ron Paul.


On 12/20/11 9:22, Robert Naiman wrote:
> http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/19/paul-moves-into-lead-in-iowa-forecast/#more-20579
>
> Note that in the latest Public Policy Polling survey, which shows Paul ahead
>
> Paul takes lead as Gingrich collapses in Iowa
> http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IA_1218925.pdf
>
> there is significant evidence of Dem/anti-war action:
>
> "Paul's base of support continues to rely on some unusual groups for a
> Republican contest.  Among voters under 45 he's at 33% to 16% for
> Romney and 11% for Gingrich. Paul is also cleaning up 35-14 with the
> 24% of voters who identify as either Democrats or independents. Romney
> is actually ahead 22-19 with GOP voters."
>
> see also the cross tabs: more of Ron Paul's supporters in the poll
> voted in the Democratic caucus in 2008 than voted in the Republican
> caucus, even though Ron Paul was a candidate in the Republican caucus in 2008.
>
>
> --
> Robert Naiman
> Policy Director
> Just Foreign Policy
> www.justforeignpolicy.org
> naiman at justforeignpolicy.org
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